Ex-PM Ahmet Davutoglu has followed former economic czar Ali Babacan in quitting the ruling AKP. Once known as the president’s right-hand man, he declared: “It has become a historic responsibility for us to build a new political movement.”
Cut of 325 bp taken as tolerable by the markets with pace of easing seen as likely to slow. Rallying lira confounds analysts. If a wheel is set to come off ‘Erdoganomics’, the signs have not been detected yet.
Tighter regulation and growing geopolitical tensions have caused a downturn in global Chinese outward FDI in the past two years. The Central and Eastern Europe region is no exception.
GDP shrinks by better-than-expected (or “expected unexpected”, take your pick) 1.5% in Q2. Worryheads note Erdogan's latest credit splurge offset by private bank deleveraging, and ponder formidable size of commercial zombie on Treasury lab table.
Market observers ask why hot money did not rush into Turkey to benefit from guaranteed arbitrage against the new rate-cutting horizon.