Data
Demographic “tipping point” imminent for CEE labour markets
The ‘tipping point’ at which labour demand will become equal to labour supply is just two years away in the Czech Republic, Lithuania and Poland, says a new study from wiiw.
Poland’s inflation reaches 2.4% y/y in May
Inflation is expected remain at around 2.4%-2.5% y/y in June before easing to 2%-2.5% in the second half of the year, despite core inflation accelerating.
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CEE monthly bond wrap: bond issues in CEE sharply down, Russia sharply up
Bond issues in Central and Eastern Europe in May were down steeply on previous years to a total of $3.1bn from six issues, but they were up in Russia and the CIS to $1.1bn from four issues, albeit from a low base.
Slovakia´s inflation up again to 2.7% y/y in May
Slovakia´s consumer prices rose again, up 2.7% year-on-year in May and by 0.4 percentage points (pp) month-on-month, ahead of the consensus forecast of 2.6%
Turkey’s current account deficit grows by less than expected in April to $1.33bn
Higher exports and tourism season set to shrink gap in months ahead. Deleveraging amid country’s economic turmoil continues.
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CBR cuts key rate by 25 bp to 7.5% per annum -- the first cut since March 2018
The Central Bank of Russia cut its key rate for the first time since March 2018, as the annual inflation slowdown continues.
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Russia's Fx/gold reserves tops $500bn for the first time in five years
The foreign currency and gold reserves of the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) amounted to $502.7bn as of end of the week of June 14, the data by the regulator shows.
Romania’s industry maintains sluggish growth in April
1.5% y/y growth of industrial production in April is far from the 5.2% figure envisaged by the government when forecasting 5.5% GDP growth this year.
Russia's current account surplus at $49bn, capital outflow doubles as of May
Russia's current account of the balance of payments posted a surplus of $48.7bn in January-May 2019, expanding by $1.8bn year-on-year, according to the preliminary data by the Central Bank of Russia (CBR)
TURKEY INSIGHT: Rate-setters decide this is no time to cut
Decision was expected. Both lira and political outlook—with Istanbul revote and more Russian missile rows with US ahead—are unstable. Officials remain engaged in manipulating currency and injecting fresh loans into zombie companies.
Ukraine consumer prices rise by 0.7% m/m in May
Inflation pressures in Ukraine have not subsided despite the central banks decision to keep interest rates high making more cuts in the near term unlikely. Ukraine’s consumer inflation accelerated to 9.6% year-on-year from 8.8% y/y in April and rose
Top Turkish retailer BIM to pay TRY1.02 net cash dividend per share on June 12
Total gross amount to be distributed as bonus shares and cash dividends from 2018 profit equals 83% of TRY1.25bn net profit.
Romania’s trade gap keeps widening as imports are particularly robust
Import growth reached double digits again in April, pushing the trade gap up by 36% y/y in the month.
May’s real effective exchange rate of Turkish lira lowest in nine months
It fell to 69.79 in May, the weakest level recorded since last September's record low of 62.45.
Turkey’s consumer technologies market posts limited 7.5% y/y nominal growth in Q1
It grew to TRY14.2bn (€2.17bn) according to a report by GfK Temax.
Slovenia’s April trade deficit soars to 10-year high for April
Both imports and exports soared in April but the rise in imports was particularly sharp. This is set to continue as domestic demand is projected be the main driver of growth this year while the external environment weakens.
Albania’s PPI down 0.2% y/y in 1Q19
The PPI in the key manufacturing sector was down by 0.7% y/y during the quarter, with the steepest drops in prices for manufacture of food products, manufacture of non-metallic mineral products (0.5%) and metallurgy.
Consumption pushes Romania’s GDP growth to 5% y/y in Q1
Detailed data point at an excessive rise in private consumption, pushing up net imports at an intensity not seen since the 2007-2008 surge ended in recession.
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Russian car sales plunge 7% in May
Sales of new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (LCVs) in Russia decreased by 6.7% in May 2019 to 0.138mn units, the latest report by AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee (AEB AMC) shows. In January-May overall the market declined by 2.2%
Growth of Czech retail sales for food the highest in the past 16 years
Czech retail sales, non-adjusted for calendar effects, accelerated to 6.9% year-on-year in April from 4.3% in March, mostly due to a 10% increase in food sales, the most y/y in the past 16 years, significantly influenced by the Easter holiday, based