Opinion

COMMENT: Aliyev continues to block the chance of peace in the South Caucasus

Robert Ananyan in Yerevan April 29, 2024

Although Armenia and Azerbaijan are now the closest they have been to signing a peace treaty in the last 30 years, there is a high probability that it will not be signed.

Why are Russian peacekeepers leaving Karabakh?

Seymur Mammadov in Baku April 29, 2024

The early withdrawal of the Russian peacekeeping contingent from the Karabakh region in Azerbaijan is a pivotal event for the South Caucasus.

COMMENT: Ukraine’s macro risks remain manageable - ICU

bne IntelliNews April 29, 2024

Ukraine’s economy has proven to be resilient and is beginning to recover. But the weight of the war is still weighing heavily on the country and Russia’s intensified bombardment of recent months caused some analysts to lower their GDP forecasts.

THE VIEW FROM MITTELEUROPA: Has EU enlargement been an economic success story?

Gunter Deuber in Vienna April 29, 2024

20 years after the accession of Central Europe, EU enlargement can be seen as an engine of economic growth, even if it was not a success everywhere and in all areas.

BOFIT: The long-awaited new US aid package brings military support to Ukraine

Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) April 26, 2024

After a long wait, the US aid package for Ukraine of almost $61bn got the last seal with President Biden's signature on April 24, 2024. The sizeable package focuses especially on military material aid.

How Kazakhstan leveraged “uranium power” to hold reins in nuclear fuel dealings with China

bne IntelliNews April 23, 2024

Researcher says Kazakhstan is no mere “node in Beijing’s transregional geoeconomic strategy”. Such thinking obscures Chinese actors’ adaptive approach to local interests and overlooks gains Kazakhstani actors “skillfully extracted”.

COMMENT: The EU's policy dilemma in Georgia – choosing between bad and worse

Gia Tarkhan-Mouravi in Tbilisi April 23, 2024

Freezing Georgia’s progress towards EU accession over the ‘foreign agents’ bill could alienate the Georgian population and bring much joy to the EU’s adversaries.

Central Asia: Welcome to the “opportunity zone”

bne IntelliNews April 23, 2024

The Great Game’s got a new name.

COMMENT: Can China compensate for Russia’s losses on the European gas market?

bne IntelliNews April 23, 2024

“Building the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline from Russia to China is a rational decision that would have made sense even before the war, but the project will never be able to replace Russia’s decimated gas trade with Europe."

COLLINGWOOD: Ukraine’s power blackout means a dark future

Andrew Collingwood in Tyneside April 22, 2024

In the last week, two pieces of legislation have been passed, one in Kyiv and one in Washington, that appear to go some way to addressing the most pressing problems Ukraine faces in its war with Russia. They do not.

UBN: The US Needs to Wake Up

Mark McNamee of UBN in Kyiv April 19, 2024

“As I write, highly civilized human beings are flying overhead, trying to kill me.” – George Orwell, England Your England, 1941

COMMENT: Armenia's decisive turn towards the West

Robert Ananyan in Yerevan April 18, 2024

There’s a high probability that a new geopolitical balance can be established in the South Caucasus where Russia will finally be absent.

BOFIT: Russia’s overall economic performance steady in February; construction investment has supported wartime growth

Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) April 13, 2024

The central factor supporting Russian economic growth last year was the sharp increase in fixed capital investment. Increased budget spending was also used to finance investments.

PANNIER: Caspian military drills that exclude Russia and Iran have some people in Moscow asking questions

Bruce Pannier April 12, 2024

Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan going ahead with “Birlestik-2024”. Russian consternation is growing.

COMMENT: The Three Seas Initiative's digital imperative

Dominykas Tuckus in Vilnius April 12, 2024

While digital infrastructure in the region is growing, support infrastructure designed to handle the growth in demand is what requires investment.

TEHRAN BLOG: Are Iran and Israel going to war? It’s already begun

bne bureau April 8, 2024

The Middle East is no stranger to tension, and recent developments have brought the delicate balance of peace and conflict in the region to international attention.

Crisis Group warns resolution of conflict between Serbia and Kosovo increasingly distant

bne IntelliNews April 3, 2024

There is “scant hope” of Belgrade and Pristina overcoming their difficulties and normalising relations, says a new Crisis Group report.

CENUSA: Geopolitics prevails in the EU accession agenda for Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova

Denis Cenusa April 3, 2024

The destabilisation of Eastern Europe created a paradigm shift in terms of EU enlargement.

BOFIT: Forecast for Russia sees lower economic growth ahead

Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) March 31, 2024

In the March update of BOFIT"s Forecast for Russia 2024-2026 capacity constraints will become a major cause of Russia’s economic slowdown this year.

COMMENT: Asian central banks likely to start cutting rates soon

bne IntelliNews March 28, 2024

Central banks across emerging Asia are poised to implement interest rate cuts in the coming months, driven by declining inflation and tepid domestic demand.

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