Central Europe / Data

Polish inflation accelerates to 2.6% y/y in June

Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw July 16, 2019

Inflation is expected to moderate in the second half of the year with the Polish Monetary Policy Council to remain dovish.

Fastest shrinking EU states are from Southeast Europe and the Baltics

bne IntelliNews July 12, 2019

States across Central and Southeast Europe are experiencing a long-term population decline due to a combination of low birth rates and mass emigration.

Czech retail sales in May recorded the slowest growth in past 2 years

bne IntelliNews July 10, 2019

Czech retail sales fell 1% month-on-month at constant prices in May after very strong growth in previous months, and marked the slowest growth in 2 years.

Central European economies decouple from Eurozone slowdown

Clare Nuttall in Glasgow July 9, 2019

Economists from wiiw have revised upwards their forecasts for Central and Southeast European economies as wage-driven growth has stopped them from following the eurozone into a slowdown.

Slovakia ́s retail trade revenues down to 2.7% growth in May y/y, the biggest drop since 2012

Nelly Tomcikova in Prague July 9, 2019

Slovakia ́s revenues from retail trade (excluding car sales) increased by 2.7 % in May year-on-year, following a 1.8% gain the previous month, recording the biggest drop in retail trade since December 2012, according to data from the Slovak Statistic

Czech industrial production puts in a surprise 3.2% growth in May, resisting German slowdown

Nelly Tomcikova in Prague July 9, 2019

Czech industrial production surprised analysts after it increased by 3.2% year-on-year in May, driven mainly by a 7% acceleration in the automotive industry, based on data published by the Czech Statistics Office on July 8. The consensus was for a 1%

Latvian industrial production returns to growth in May

Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw July 5, 2019

The reading marks a return to growth for the Baltic state’s industrial sector after output fell in April in what was a third fall in the previous five months.

Poland’s unemployment rate drops to 28-year low of 5.3%

Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw July 5, 2019

Record-low rate results in fast-growing wages and buoyed consumer confidence, making household consumption a key driver of economic growth.

Hungary's sluggish May retail sales surprise analysts

bne IntelliNews July 5, 2019

Slowing wage increases partially foreshadowed the drop, but analysts are still at a loss to explain whether the steep deceleration in retail sales growth is a blip or the start of a wider slowdown.

CEE monthly bond wrap: the number of issues in both CE and EE pick up in June as sentiment improves

Ben Aris in Berlin July 4, 2019

The total of $5.3bn from seven issues in June was the most issued in the last four years. Eastern Europe and Russia also had a good month with issues of $5.1bn and $3.2bn respectively.

Estonian industrial production returns to growth in May

bne IntelliNews July 2, 2019

The reading marks a return to expansion in Estonia’s industrial output after April’s dent ended a 33-month series of uninterrupted growth.

Poland’s PMI falls to a four-month low in June

Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw July 1, 2019

The indicator’s fall attests to the continuing deterioration of business conditions at Polish manufacturers, said IHS Markit which compiles the index — though industrial growth remained strong at the start of the year.

Czech PMI plunges to its lowest level in the last 10 years

bne IntelliNews July 1, 2019

The Czech IHS Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index plunged to its lowest level since July 2009, posting 45.9 in June, down from 46.6 in May

Estonian retail sales ease growth rate to 2% y/y in May

bne IntelliNews June 28, 2019

Sharp slowdown in growth since April, but consumption is expected to be an important driver of economic growth in 2019, as it was last year.

Hungarian unemployment rate at 3.4%, lowest level since independence

bne IntelliNews June 27, 2019

The unemployment rate in Hungary fell to 3.4% in March-May, its lowest level since independence

Polish retail sales ease y/y growth in May after Easter surge

bne IntelliNews June 24, 2019

The slowdown was expected after sales spiked the previous month because of Easter but still is in line with Polish households’ general inclination towards increased consumption.

Polish industrial production eases growth rate to still solid 7.7% y/y in May

bne IntelliNews June 24, 2019

The headline figure is 1.5pp below the unadjusted figure recorded the preceding month but still attests to the Polish industrial sector’s stubbornness to give in to negative trends in the external environment.