It is said that life rarely changes on a small island - and so it is with the divided island of Cyprus. Greek Cypriots are preparing for a six-month stint holding the EU's rotating presidency, which is likely to put the already deadlocked negotiations with the northern Turkish half further into deep freeze. The world is asking: when will some movement come to this frozen conflict?
Not anytime soon, reckons Dr Ahmet Sozen of the Cyprus Policy Centre in Turkish North Cyprus. The last time the Cypriots neared a settlement was in 2004, with the so-called "Annan Plan" that aimed to create a federation of two states to reunite the island. Greek Cypriots ended up rejecting the plan when it went to referendum after numerous revisions; an outcome that senior international diplomats claimed was a surprise.
Today, 68% of Greek Cypriots and 65% of Turkish Cypriots desire that the current negotiations lead to a settlement, according to Sozen, who conducted a bi-communal survey as part of an initiative called "Cyprus 2015". But while the desire for settlement is there, reaching it is still far off, with 65% of Greek Cypriots and 69% of Turkish Cypriots not believing the current talks will lead to a settlement.
And, unfortunately, they appear to be correct. A push by UN chief Ban Ki-moon to reach a new stage in negotiations by the time the Greek Cypriots assume the EU presidency on July 1 has failed. In April, plans for an international conference on the Cyprus issue were scrapped, with Ban saying that the two sides had failed to make progress on proposals to become a federal power-sharing state.